Iraq Central Bank Boosts Gold Reserves

January 14th, 2013
By: Omar al-Shaher for Al-Monitor Iraq Pulse. posted on January 7.

Despite the attention given by Iraqi media to the increase of gold reserves, locals are still oblivious to the repercussions of such an act on their daily affairs.

 

The monthly statistical report of the International Monetary Fund stated that over the three months between August and October of last year, Iraq’s gold holdings quadrupled to 31 tons, the first time something like this has happened in years. The value of gold as a strategic reserve has grown over the past few years due to the continued instability of the U.S. dollar exchange rate.

International banks perceive gold as having long-lasting value that is not affected by rapid economic development. Gold can be used to compensate for insufficient cash reserves in the wake of political or economic crisis. In that context, Iraq is probably the country that is most in need of a great deal of gold reserves given its succession of political and economic crises.

“Gold is the first shelter for countries in times of crisis,” said the Iraqi economic analyst Majid al-Suwari.

According to Parliamentary Economic and Investment Committee member Abdul Abass Shiyah, “it is normal for the public not to read between the lines of sharp increases in gold reserves.”

“The Iraqi dinar exchange rate is based on the amount of cash reserves, which include not only money but gold as well,” said Shiyah, a member of the Dawlat al-Kanoun parliamentary bloc led by Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki.

Gold is the most stable component of official reserves. It will result “in the stability and possibly the improvement of dinar exchange rates,” he added.

Shiyah reiterated that the public will sense indirectly the impact of the increase in gold reserves.

“When the value of imported goods decreases following the increase in the value of the dinar, which directly correlates to the increase of cash reserves, the public will remember the steps the state took to boost gold reserves,” Shiyah added.

The Central Bank of Iraq announced in August of last year that cash reserves had reached $67 billion, which is a first in the country that relies entirely on oil exports to finance its budget.

“The Iraqi reserve is figuratively described as ‘cash,’ but in fact it has multiple components. Iraq owns U.S. dollars, euros, pounds, gold and different types of securities,” said Shiyah.

He added, “The central bank uses a part of its huge reserve to fund major governmental projects. Even though a part of this reserve is disseminated between international banks and benefits Iraq financially, the central bank ought to fund some weighty governmental activities.”

Since 2003, Iraq has had an insignificant cash reserve. Some sources state that those who were in charge of the Iraqi economy during the first months following Saddam Hussein’s toppling converted a ton of gold, which was the only reserve held by the central bank, into cash.

Economic Analyst Majid Suwari said that Iraq’s reserves amounted to $39 billion in 1979; however, Saddam’s policies squandered that fortune. In 2003, Iraq’s debts reached $125 billion.

“The central bank policy is currently based on the diversification of reserves. However, if the policy of purchasing gold had been adopted two years ago when the value of one ounce was about $500 to $600, Iraq would have quadrupled its investment gains,” he added.

He concluded that “this initiative started late, but not too late.” Suwari expects the central bank to pursue the policy of increasing gold reserves amid the government’s spending tendencies.

He clarified that the Iraqi government needs the dinar to cover its huge expenses. The central bank provides it with the necessary Iraqi dinars in exchange for U.S. dollars obtained through the oil trade. Afterwards, the central bank converts dollars to gold.

Omar al-Shaher is a contributor to Al-Monitor’s Iraq Pulse. His writing has appeared in a wide range of publications including France’s Le Monde, the Iraqi Alesbuyia magazine, Egypt’s Al-Ahaly and the Elaph website. He previously worked for Al-Mada covering political and security affairs and as a correspondent for the Kuwaiti Awan newspaper in Baghdad from 2008-2010. 

This article was translated by Steffi Chakti.

Read more: http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/01/iraq-central-bank-gold.html#ixzz2HzKubfJm

CBI- Saleh indicates project to delete zeros postponed until after 2014

December 8th, 2012
Deputy Governor of the Central Bank  Mohammed Saleh, has stated that the project to replace the currency and delete the zeros has been postponed until after the year 2014.

 

 Saleh told / Baghdadiya News /  ” the national project has been postponed for the deletion of zeros until after the year 2014 due to the lack of appropriate political atmosphere to accomplish it ,” pointing out that “the Bank completed all the mechanisms and preparations for the start of the project.
The said project needs the support of government and parliament at the same time” and  unless this is achieved during the last period as a result of the presence of well­ founded fear of initiating such a move by some politicians and ministers and advisers in the government and who attributed it to the lack of appropriate political atmosphere to start with.

 Saleh,said that “any delay of the project we need to start before the New Year, because the state of the process or new system  can not work before this time under the law of the Iraqi Central Bank is likely to postpone the project to early 2014 or later”

CBI Postpones Iraqi Currency Redenomination

October 5th, 2012

Posted on 04 October 2012.

CBI Postpones Iraqi Currency RedenominationThe Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) has ruled out deleting the three zeros from the Iraqi currency in 2013 because it needs time and a new fiscal year.The Deputy Chairman of the CBI, Mudhir Mohamed Salih, told AIN on Wednesday:

“The project of crossing out zeros from the Iraqi currency takes time … The Council of Ministers has instructed to take extra time to consider this project.”

According to AIN, Salih denied “The reports over a malfunction that took place while implementing this project in the exchange rate of the Iraqi Dinar against the foreign currencies.”

The report also said that the Council of Ministers decided during its session on 10th April to postpone the deletion of zeros from the Iraqi currency until further notice.

(Source: AIN)

Drop in prices from Iraqidinars.com – More value for our clients

September 3rd, 2012

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Buy Dinars by LayBy Plan with Monthly Rollovers – New Product by Iraqidinars.com

July 17th, 2012

http://iraqidinars.com/site/page/buyingdinarsvialaybyplan

 

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Iraqi cabinet urges patience before proceeding with Iraqi Dinar redenominatio

July 7th, 2012

July 06, 2012

“The government prefers to be patient before cutting zeros off Iraqi dinar and its redenomination because it is not a priority at the current stage,” Cabinet Secretary Ali Al Allak told Alsumarianews assuring that cabinet is currently studying possibilities and available circumstances for such a procedure.

 

“We are not sure we can control major money sums’ withdrawal under current circumstances,” Al Allak added calling to be patient because the simple thought of withdrawing, storing and destroying between 30 and 40 trillion dinars requires a serious study.

 

“There are no defects in our currency especially that many countries deal the same way,” he advanced. Finance committee received, on June 26, the deputy governor of Central Bank of Iraq Mazhar Mohamed Saleh to discuss about procedures related to the zeros cutting off, required time and expected changes following the dinar redenomination.

 

“During the meeting with Saleh, Iraqi cabinet approved cutting zeros off Iraqi dinar and its redenomination after it had resolved upon taking time before launching the procedure due to Dollar’s increase in comparison with Iraqi dinar in local markets during past months,” finance committee member Najiya Najib told Alsumarianews on July 3.

 

“Zeros will be cut off Iraqi dinar and the currency will be denominated in January 2013,” Finance Committee member Haitham Al Jabouri advanced on May 15 noting that printing the new currency bills will start in September 2012.(Source)Alsumaria news

Iraq’s oil riches finally being tapped

June 21st, 2012

 

Article by: THE ECONOMIST

June 18, 2012 – 9:31 PM

 

New pipelines stretching into the Persian Gulf near the city of Basra promise to shower Iraq with wealth and turn the nation into one of the world’s biggest oil exporters.

Leighton Offshore, an Australian firm, is installing additional oil-loading buoys to fill tankers with Iraq’s abundant crude.

 

The country claims to have reserves of 143 billion barrels, the third-largest in the world. In April Iraq exported more than 2.5 million barrels a day, more than at any time since the 1980s, earning its treasury almost $9 billion. Total production is now almost 3 million barrels per day, according to OPEC, the oil producers’ cartel.

 

More loading buoys are in the works and, as oil firms invest billions of dollars in Iraq, the industry is booming. By the end of the year, reckons Peter Hitchens, an analyst at the bank HSBC, Iraq’s output will reach 3.5 million barrels a day, a torrent of new oil to quench global markets.

 

Iraq’s production targets are even bolder. Hussein al-Shahristani, deputy prime minister for energy, says that contracts with foreign oil firms should lift output to an outlandish 12 million barrels per day by 2017, a level that would put Iraq on a par with Saudi Arabia, both as an exporter of oil and, if crude prices maintain their recent heights in coming years, as a global spending power.

 

It is unlikely to get anywhere close to that level. Saudi Arabia spent 80 years building its oil industry amid relative peace and stability. Iraq enjoys neither.

 

Sectarian violence persists. A series of bombings on June 13 killed more than 80 people. The government of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki depends on a feeble coalition. Despite years of negotiations, Iraq still has no petroleum law, leaving thorny disputes between the federal government and the regions over the control of oil revenue.

 

“All of this recent progress has happened against a backdrop of dysfunction,” said Keith Myers, a Revenue Watch Institute consultant working with the Iraqi parliament on the oil law.

Although the country’s crude is cheap to pump, Iraq hardly provides the bonanza that foreign companies such as BP, Lukoil and Royal Dutch Shell hoped for when they signed deals to develop its big fields. Unrest and crime can impede operations. Trucks being used by one company to conduct seismic surveillance recently disappeared overnight.

 

Graft taints much of the dealmaking. Transparency International, a Berlin-based activist group, ranked Iraq 175th out of 182 countries in its corruption-perceptions index last year.

 

Apart from the tiny coastline near Basra, Iraq is landlocked. So, aside from the new loading buoys, any increase in export capacity depends on pipelines through neighboring countries. One from Kirkuk to Ceyhan, a Turkish port, could be expanded — but with difficulty.

 

Other options are even harder. In recent years the governments in Baghdad and Damascus have talked of a new pipeline to Banias, on the Syrian coast, but civil strife in Syria makes that unlikely for the time being. A pipeline to a port in Saudi Arabia was shut down when Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990. Saudi Arabia now uses it for natural gas and will not free it for a rival’s oil.

 

Export bottlenecks will keep Iraq’s ambitious production targets a ways off. Hitchens predicts Iraqi output of 7 million barrels per day by the end of the decade — a significant rise, but less than America produces today. At some point Iraq also plans to rejoin OPEC’s quota system, which might further limit exports.

 

Two other issues have the potential to undermine Iraqi production. Some analysts believe Iran, a rival producer increasingly hit by sanctions, could yet use its sway over Iraq’s Shias to spark more unrest. But would Iraqi Arabs really undermine their own prosperity in order to benefit Persian co-religionists?

 

Meanwhile Iraq’s autonomous northern province of Kurdistan has signed dozens of oil contracts with foreign companies, outside central government control. The region holds less oil than Iraq’s south, but the production-sharing agreements being offered to investors are far more enticing.

 

Kurdish leaders believe that, with such big firms involved, they can build their own oil industry. Kurdistan’s regional government has proposed a new pipeline to Turkey, allowing it to bypass the one belonging to the federal government.

 

This could be seen as a step toward Kurdish secession, however, unraveling federal Iraq and creating yet more sectarian fighting. Turkey may be unwilling to support such a move, not least given its own restive Kurdish population.

© 2011 Star Tribune

Iraq halts plans to cut zeros off dinar currency-cabinet

April 13th, 2012

Thu Apr 12, 2012 3:10pm EDT

* Cabinet says stops plans to redenominate dinar “until further notice”

* Iraq has over 30 trillion Iraqi dinars in circulation

* Plan to trim zeros not seen as a priority

By Aseel Kami – Reuters

BAGHDAD, April 12 (Reuters) – Iraq has decided to hold off on a plan to knock three zeros off the nominal value of bank notes of its currency because it does not believe the economic climate is suitable, the cabinet secretary said on Thursday.

The central bank said last August it planned to redenominate the Iraqi dinar to simplify financial transactions in an economy that is still heavily centralised and dominated by oil, and where deals are often carried out in cash.

The proposal to restructure the dinar to bring more liquidity into the market has been awaiting parliamentary approval since last year.

On Thursday, a statement on the website of the cabinet secretary said the cabinet had decided to halt all procedures relating to the redenomination of the dinar “until further notice”.

“The economic committee discussed this issue and so did cabinet … There is a possibility that it could cause some problems in the economic situation. Besides that, this operation is so big that cabinet sees circumstances are not right to control this,” cabinet secretary Ali al-Alaq told Reuters.

Iraq is slowly getting back on its feet after years of war and sanctions. Oil accounts for 95 percent of government revenues and the country’s banking system is still highly underdeveloped.

 

HUGE PROCESS

The central bank has kept the dinar fixed at 1,170 dinars to the dollar in its daily auction but it recently moved to revalue the dinar slightly to 1,166 dinars after demand for the U.S. currency soared.

The central bank said it also had to tighten regulations over who can participate in the auctions as Iraqi traders sought to snap up dollars for resale in neighbouring Syria and Iran, both under Western economic sanctions.

Sales of dollars in currency auctions held by Iraq’s central bank rose as high as $400 million on some days in December from a previous average of $150 million, according to central bank data.

“We have more than 30 trillion dinars in circulation. To withdraw this amount from the market and then to examine them and to dispose of them is a huge process. Even the technical and the monetary capabilities to control a process like this, we consider as insufficient and it is not seen as a priority currently,” Alaq said.

The central bank says Iraq’s large foreign reserves, which have risen to a record $60 billion on the back of high oil prices, will shield it from any damage to its financial system on the national level.

 

via REUTERS

Iraq’s Next Challenge: A New Currency

March 21st, 2012

A man leaves a currency exchange shop in Baghdad, January 30, 2012. (photo by REUTERS/Saad Shalash)

A few weeks ago, a source at the Iraqi Central Bank announced the government’s plan to [re-denominate] the [Iraqi] currency by cutting three zero from all notes, effectively dividing these notes by 1000. 1000 dinar notes would be changed to one dinar notes and 5000 [old dinars] would equal five new dinars.

ABOUT THIS ARTICLE

Summary:

Iraq is planning to revalue its currency, the dinar, cutting three zeros from its notes. The purchasing power of the dinar will remain unchanged if the government adopts the correct measures, writes Thaka’ Mokhless al-Khalidi. The author argues that this will lower the level of dollarization of the Iraqi economy.

Publisher: Al-Hayat (Pan Arab)
Original Title:
The Currency Change in Iraqi and its Expected Effects
Author: Thaka’ Mokhless al-Khalidi
Published on: Monday, Feb 27, 2012
Translated On: Wednesday, Feb 29, 2012
Translator: Ibrahim Jouhari

Categories: Economy Analysis & Opinion  Iraq  

The new currency will be introduced in 2012. The process will take up to two years, at the end of which the old currency will ultimately be void. However, banks will continue to accept [the old notes] for another 10 years – for exchange against new notes, not for circulation.

The source added that the purchasing power of the new currency would remain unchanged. For example, a product that currently costs 1000 dinars, would be worth one dinar of the new currency. A product that currently costs one million dinars would be worth 1000 dinars.

Two questions must be asked, for this is an issue of great importance and there are several misconceptions surrounding it – for example, some believe that they will be able to profit from buying [old] dinars now and selling them later. First, what does the government hope to accomplish with this change? Second, how will the government, or more precisely, how will the monetary authorities be able to guarantee the exchange rate between the two currencies, and make sure that the process harms no one?

In response to the first question: Until 1981, the Iraqi dinar was backed by gold reserves, foreign currencies (up to 70%) and in part by Iraqi treasury bills given that Iraq still adhered to the gold standard at the time. In order to [guarantee the value of the Iraqi currency], successive governments linked Iraq’s current and investment expenditures to their foreign assets, oil revenues and their gold reserves.

To ensure [that a balance was struck between the Iraqi dinar’s value and the country’s gold holdings], administrative restrictions were applied to foreign transfers – both in the trade of goods and services – and capital movements. Moreover, conservative monetary and fiscal policies were enforced. Consequently, the Iraqi dinar’s stability was preserved and its official exchange rate of 3.2 dollars to the dinar did not change. The Iraqi dinar was considered a safe investment inside Iraq and in the region, especially in neighboring markets. However, following the Iraq-Iran war, and given the high cost of this war, the government abandoned this currency law and started spending with no quantitative restrictions. The Iraq dinar consequently suffered from a continuous decline in both its exchange rate and purchasing power.

The economic blockade imposed on Iraq in 1990 made matters worse. Even though the Iraqi Government maintained the public exchange rate of 3.2 dollars to dinar for official transactions, a black market ruled by [the real forces of] supply and demand emerged. On this market, the value of the dinar fell to 3000 dinars to the dollar. After the [US invasion] and occupation of Iraq, the ban on Iraqi oil exports and Iraq’s reserves in foreign countries was lifted and the dinar’s value rose to around 1125 dinars to the dollar.

The Iran-Iraq War and the subsequent economic blockade weakened the Iraqi dinar. This deprived it from its status as a safe investment and [medium of exchange and store of value], forcing most of those conducting financial transactions [in Iraq] to turn to the dollar. As a result, the Iraqi economy suffered from [wide] dollarization. The first effect of the decision to [revalue] the currency would be a return to the dinar, and the widespread circulation of dinar notes of even the smallest denomination. The Iraqi economy would become less dollarized and the Iraqi dinar would take on an exclusive role [in day-to-day transactions].

Now, for the second, more important question. For the exchange rate between the two currencies to be guaranteed will require the monetary authority to issue the following orders:

Iraqi Government expenses – including employee salaries – should also be divided by 1000. An employee who currently receives a monthly salary of 1.5 million dinars would receive 1500 in new dinars. What’s more, the prices of all goods and services [must] also be divided by 1000 – products currently priced at 1000 dinars would have to be priced at one new dinar. The [proper authorities will have to] monitor the implementation of this process.

In addition, all personal, public, corporate and banking debts should be divided by 1000. A one million dinars loan would be worth 1000 dinars in the new currency. All courts and judicial entities will have to take note of this when dealing with certain complaints. However, were the loan made in dollars it would not change; it would have to be paid back in dollars just the same. Moreover, all bank deposits will have to be divided by 1000.

However, the monetary authority would still face the tough mission of determining the Iraqi dinar’s exchange rate. Will it peg the dinar to the dollar, or to a basket of currencies? Or will the authority employ [floating exchange rates] – the current system – leaving the dinar’s value to be determined by market forces, albeit limited to acceptable margins enforced by the government. The best solution for a developing country like Iraq is to peg the dinar to the dollar or a basket of currencies. However, the chosen exchange rate must reflect [economic realities], for the previous official rate of 3.2 dollars to the dinar was exaggerated. Therefore, if the current unofficial exchange rate of 1125 dinars to the dollar is divided by 1000, this will give us a rate of 1.125 dinars to the dollar, which might be reasonable.

Source:- ALMONITOR

Iraq set to take its place on the world stage

March 12th, 2012

Iraq set to take its place on the world stage

 

Posted 3/8/2012 6:30 PM by Emerging Money

Iraq has started loading oil from a long-awaited new floating Single Point Mooring (SPM) platform, with the average loading rate into the tanker Maersk Hirado coming in at 22,000 barrels per hour.

AP Logo

Iraq’s oil exports have been held back by a lack of loading capacity in the Gulf after decades of neglect of infrastructure caused by war and economic sanctions. The opening of its new platform — built by Australian construction firm Leighton — had been held up for weeks, with officials blaming poor weather.

 

The new terminal is the first of four planned, each of which will ultimately have a capacity of 850,000 barrels per day, adding 3.4 million barrels of export capacity to make way for a doubling of Iraq’s oil production in the next few years.

For now, the South Oil Company says the first platform will increase its exports by 300,000 barrels per day.
Iraq said this week it had increased total output to above 3 million barrels per day for the first time since 1979. Iraq’s output last month was just 2.65 million bpd, with production held back by a lack of export capacity. Its exports have been slightly more than 2 million bpd.

 

The Iraqi government aims to more than double its oil output in the next few years and has set a long-term goal of 12 million bpd, which would rank it alongside Saudi Arabia and Russia as one of the world’s oil superpowers .
By that point, Iraq will probably be added to the world’s mutual funds and ETFs as well, making it a factor in portfolios likeMES ( quote ), which tracks stocks in the Persian Gulf region.

 

by Simon Watkins for Emerging Money

 

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc.